As the U.S. election approaches, territories such as the Northern Marianas, American Samoa, and Guam, along with the wider Pacific region, are closely monitoring the political landscape. The primary contention is whether the Biden administration will continue under Kamala Harris or if Donald Trump will reclaim the White House.
Experts, including academics and political leaders from New Zealand and Guam, are discussing the significance of the election for the Pacific regions, particularly regarding climate change and intensified geopolitical tensions. Anna Powles from Massey University’s Centre for Defence and Security Studies pointed out the heightened military presence in Guam, especially following China’s recent intercontinental missile launch, which has raised concerns among Pacific leaders about security threats overshadowing climate issues.
Pacific leaders are advocating for a focus on peace and stability amid growing geopolitical rivalries, emphasizing the importance of prioritizing their needs amidst the U.S.-China power struggle. Though countries like New Zealand and Australia are cooperating more with the U.S., there are worries about the implications of this alliance on regional security dynamics. Discussions at recent South Pacific Defense Ministers meetings highlight a collective call for greater emphasis on security and defense ties.
Regardless of the election outcome, U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand Tom Udall noted that past presidents have aimed to enhance relations with the Pacific. Both Trump and Harris consider China a primary concern, despite differing perspectives on essential issues like climate change.
Guam, which serves as a strategic military outpost, faces unique challenges. Guamanians, part of the four million disenfranchised Americans in U.S. territories, grapple with limited political representation. U.S. Congressman James Moylan expressed a preference for a Trump presidency, citing potential benefits for Guam’s security amid regional threats.
There remains uncertainty regarding the future of the Pacific if Trump returns to power. His previous administration did not prioritize climate issues, raising concerns among local leaders about environmental engagements. Conversely, a victory for Harris could lead to the realization of the numerous promises made to the Pacific—including financial commitments to climate resilience and regional security.
The election symbolizes a pivotal moment for Pacific nations, igniting hopes for stronger engagements regardless of the victor. Local leaders and academic experts are keen for actionable commitments to address pressing challenges, particularly in climate finance, economic support, and security partnerships.
In summary, as the U.S. election unfolds, the Pacific region watches closely, hoping for leaders who respond to their unique needs and challenges, particularly concerning climate change and geopolitical stability. This upcoming election could catalyze significant partnerships, allowing Pacific nations to secure a more resilient future amid global uncertainties.
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