The main conservative anti-independence parties in New Caledonia have expressed their discontent with French Overseas Minister Manuel Valls following the failure of recent discussions aimed at establishing a new political agreement for the territory. Valls had hoped to finalize a new political statute to replace the 1998 Nouméa Accord during his latest visit, which included a closed-door conclave of New Caledonian leaders from May 6-8. However, he acknowledged that “no proposal has been able to gather consensus,” thus prolonging the region’s political instability.

The anti-independence coalition, including Les Loyalistes and the Rassemblement parties, emphasized their unity against any proposals that could lead toward independence. Their joint statement underlined that, despite ongoing talks, “no agreement was signed,” reiterating their resolve against changes that could shift the governance framework away from French sovereignty.

Valls had made efforts to engage all six parliamentary groups during the roundtable discussions, but deep divisions became clear, particularly between pro-independence factions like the FLNKS (Kanak and Socialist National Liberation Front) and the conservative bloc. The FLNKS has called for a pathway to full sovereignty, advocating for shared powers with France, which was met with resistance from the conservative factions opposing any moves towards independence.

The political climate is critical as New Caledonia grapples with the aftermath of civil unrest that erupted in May 2024, leading to casualties and significant economic decline. Reports suggest a potential 10-15% decrease in the region’s GDP this year, exemplifying the urgency for a stable political agreement not only to unite the factions but also to foster economic recovery.

Despite the setbacks in negotiations, pro-independence leaders have noted some progress in the discussions. Emmanuel Tjibaou, president of the largest independence party, stated that even without consensus, the French government is beginning to acknowledge its decolonization responsibilities, representing a foundational step towards resolving long-standing issues.

As the political discussions continue, there remains a glimmer of hope for a more unified future for New Caledonia. The ongoing commitment from various political factions to engage in dialogue could pave the way for a resolution that respects the aspirations of both the pro-independence movement and those wishing to maintain ties with France. The focus on dialogue, despite its challenges, might ultimately bring stability and encompass the diverse identity of New Caledonia, leading to a stronger, inclusive governance structure.


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