Fiji’s main sugarcane cultivation regions are predicted to experience substantial rainfall between January and April 2026, according to the latest rainfall forecast released by Fiji Met. The Fiji Sugarcane Rainfall Outlook indicates a high probability of widespread wet conditions over Viti Levu and Vanua Levu during this period.
In January 2026, the forecast suggests a 75% chance of receiving between 200 to 250 millimeters of rainfall in Lomawai, while Olosara and Cuvu may see 250 to 300mm. Areas from Malolo through to Drasa, Tagitagi, and Penang are also expected to benefit from similar conditions. Notably, regions like Lovu, Rarawai, Mota, Koronubu, Navatu, Vatukoula, Tavua, and Dobuilevu could potentially receive even higher totals of 300 to 400mm.
The outlook for February 2026 shows a likelihood of 200 to 250mm of rainfall across Olosara to Lautoka, with some areas, including Meigunyah, Natova, and specific regions from Drasa to Penang, forecasted to receive 250 to 300mm. Dobuilevu is predicted to experience particularly heavy rainfall, with totals reaching 300 to 400mm.
March 2026 also presents a favorable forecast, with a 75% chance of 200 to 250mm of rainfall in regions from Olosara extending through Navo, Nadi, Lautoka, and others in the vicinity. Furthermore, areas including Meigunyah, Natova, Mota, Koronubu, Navatu, Vatukoula, Dobuilevu, and Vanua Levu are likely to see rainfall totals of 250 to 300mm.
This rainfall outlook is notable as it coincides with an ongoing La Niña event, although this phenomenon is expected to be brief, with a shift to ENSO-neutral conditions anticipated during the first quarter of 2026. This positive rainfall forecast could significantly benefit Fiji’s sugarcane industry, enhancing crop yields amid changing climatic patterns.
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