Former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte appears likely to secure a decisive victory in the mayoral race of Davao City, despite facing serious legal challenges related to his controversial “war on drugs.” Preliminary counts indicate Duterte, currently detained at the International Criminal Court (ICC) on murder charges described as crimes against humanity, is leading the election with an overwhelming margin—reportedly receiving eight times the votes of his closest rival.
Positive signs for Duterte’s enduring popularity emerged during this nationwide midterm election, where he is reportedly receiving approximately 80% of counted votes. Observers note that Duterte’s reputation as a tough crime-fighter, reinforced by his nicknames such as “Duterte Harry” and “the Punisher,” continues to resonate strongly with voters in Davao, where he crafted much of his political legacy.
His recent Facebook posts showcase an outpouring of support from fans, many expressing eagerness for his return to local governance. “Congratulations, Tatay (father) D! Let’s bring him home,” was among the heartfelt messages left by supporters.
Historically, a likely outcome could make Duterte the first former head of state in Asia to face trial at the ICC, a move that has ignited passionate backlash from his supporters, who view his arrest as an affront to Philippine sovereignty orchestrated by a foreign court. His legal representatives assert that the arrest was unjust, maintaining that the ICC lacks jurisdiction following Duterte’s formal withdrawal from the treaty that established its authority.
Analysts suggest that Duterte’s unexpected legal entanglements may have fortified his support base rather than undermining it, particularly within Davao City. In a parallel political landscape, his two sons are also anticipated to maintain political positions—one likely being re-elected to Congress and the other set to assume the vice mayor position.
The political landscape is further complicated by the situation surrounding Duterte’s daughter, Vice President Sara Duterte, who is reportedly facing an impeachment trial which could preclude her from future political involvement.
Commentators suggest that while Duterte’s legal hurdles are significant, his local influence remains strong, indicating a resilient political dynasty in Davao City. As the results unfold, it remains to be seen how these elections will shape Duterte’s legacy and ongoing political maneuvering.

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