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Illustration of How the US election may affect Pacific Island nations

Pacific Island Nations Brace for US Election Outcomes

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As the U.S. election approaches, territories like the Northern Marianas, American Samoa, and Guam, along with the greater Pacific region, are keenly observing the unfolding political landscape. The election is poised to determine whether Kamala Harris will maintain the White House or if Donald Trump will make a comeback.

Experts, including academics and officials from New Zealand and Guam, are assessing the implications of the election on the Pacific Islands. Anna Powles, a senior lecturer at Massey University’s Centre for Defence and Security Studies, emphasizes that the outcome will significantly affect small island nations grappling with the dual challenges of climate change and geopolitical tensions, particularly in light of China’s military activities surrounding Guam.

The Pacific Islands Forum Secretary-General, Baron Waqa, stressed the urgency of prioritizing “peace and stability” in the region, as Pacific leaders express concerns that their issues are often overshadowed by the rivalry between China and the U.S. Powles noted the growing alignment of countries like New Zealand and Australia with the U.S. following strategic partnerships established by the Biden administration since 2018.

An essential aspect of the discussion revolves around U.S. engagement in the Pacific, which has intensified in response to Chinese influence—evidenced by the reopening of U.S. embassies in several Pacific nations. Both political figures in the U.S. view China as a principal threat, although their approaches to issues like climate change differ vastly.

Guam, known as a critical location for U.S. defense efforts, stands at the center of these geopolitical tensions, especially after China’s recent missile tests—a move that raised alarm in the region. Despite increasing military presence, Guam remains disenfranchised as U.S. territories lack voting representation in federal elections, with Congressman James Moylan advocating for greater recognition and support for Guam’s interests.

The potential re-election of Trump raises concerns about a deviation from current initiatives aimed at building security in the Pacific and addressing climate change, reflecting Trump’s previous disinterest in such matters. Conversely, a win for Harris could bring renewed focus and commitment to these issues, particularly climate action and economic support for Pacific nations.

In summary, the U.S. election not only bears implications for American domestic politics but also holds significant consequences for Pacific Island nations that are yearning for greater attention to their unique challenges. Regardless of the outcome, ongoing dialogue and commitment to delivering practical solutions will be crucial for ensuring the stability and prosperity of these island communities.

In light of these developments, there is hope that increased awareness and collaboration among Pacific leaders and U.S. officials can lead to meaningful steps in addressing the pressing issues of climate change, security, and economic development in the region.


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