Fijian academic Professor Steven Ratuva believes that the recent division of the Opposition into two separate blocs may further diminish the already weakened parliamentary Opposition. In response to the announcement made by Speaker of Parliament Ratu Naiqama Lalabalavu regarding the formation of two working groups within the Opposition, Prof Ratuva highlighted the potential risks of this split, cautioning that it could entrench a culture of “token opposition” in Fiji.
He stated, “This can further weaken the already compromised parliamentary Opposition, whose political party foundation collapsed following the actions of the two party leaders.” The division has created a majority bloc of 16 members and a minority bloc of 9, which Prof Ratuva described as “strange.”
The professor emphasized the implications of this division, pointing out that it could benefit the Coalition Government by enabling them to manipulate political dynamics and narratives through a divide-and-control strategy. He noted that the government might utilize the smaller bloc as a political buffer and seek their support in future legislative matters, such as proposed constitutional amendments.
Questions arise concerning the role of Mr. Seruiratu and the 16-member bloc, including whether they will serve as the official parliamentary Opposition and how they might collaborate with the 9-member bloc. There is a concern that this arrangement could facilitate a gradual integration of the minority bloc into the Coalition’s influence prior to the next general election in 2026.
Prof Ratuva acknowledged that party fragmentation is not uncommon globally, including in the Pacific region, stating that a hallmark of parliamentary democracy is the coexistence of a dominant government party and an official Opposition. While a minority opposition can play a role, this is typically determined by election results and the ranking of parties based on votes received.
He referenced historical instances of division within parties, such as the split of the Opposition NFP into factions in the 1970s, while noting that the context was different at that time. Overall, he reiterated that the current split into a majority bloc of 16 and a minority bloc of 9 is unusual.