Geopolitical Tensions: What’s at Stake for the South Pacific?

The relationship between the United States and China has significant implications for the entire Asia-Pacific region, according to Major-General Ro Jone Kalouniwai, Commander of the Republic of Fiji Military Forces (RFMF). His remarks came during the 11th Beijing Xiangshan Forum held in China last week, where he was joined by Pio Tikoduadua, the Minister for Home Affairs and Immigration.

Major-General Kalouniwai emphasized that Fiji’s future, along with that of other Pacific Island nations, is closely linked to the ties between the U.S. and China, the two most powerful economies in the world. He stated that the dynamics of this relationship could have major consequences, not just for the South Pacific but for the entire Asia-Pacific region.

“A constructive relationship between the U.S. and China is crucial for our future, presenting opportunities for peace and prosperity, particularly for smaller nations like Fiji. Conversely, rising tensions could pose serious threats to long-term stability, raising fears of potential conflict,” he warned.

He underscored the undeniable economic interdependence between the U.S. and China, which has generally been well-managed. Nevertheless, he acknowledged that as China’s influence grows, so do the underlying rivalries, prompting inquiries about the future trajectory of these two powers.

The Major-General posed key questions regarding the potential for peaceful coexistence versus the drift toward strategic competition or hostility, noting that the answers remain uncertain. He stressed that outcomes of peace or conflict hinge on decisions made in Washington and Beijing in the near future.

Kalouniwai also highlighted the critical moment the U.S. faces in responding to China’s rise, as its choices could lead to significant shifts in regional and global power dynamics.

In addition, he endorsed Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka’s proposal of the Zone of Peace for the South Pacific, which is in line with promoting peace and stability amid geopolitical challenges. He described the Zone of Peace as embodying principles of non-aggression, non-interference, and peaceful dispute resolution, which could foster trust and security among nations in the region. By adhering to these principles, Kalouniwai believes countries can establish a foundation for lasting peace and prosperity in the South Pacific.

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