As the U.S. election approaches, territories like the Northern Marianas, American Samoa, and Guam, along with other parts of the Pacific, are closely monitoring the potential political shifts. The critical question remains whether the White House will continue to be led by Kamala Harris or if Donald Trump will reclaim the presidency. Experts, including academics, New Zealand’s U.S. ambassador, and Guam’s Congressman, are weighing in on how the election outcome could resonate across the Pacific.
Anna Powles, a senior lecturer from Massey University’s Centre for Defence and Security Studies, emphasized the significance of the election on small island nations grappling with climate change and geopolitical tensions, particularly with regard to the increased military presence on Guam following China’s missile tests. Pacific leaders are noting the overshadowing threat of climate-induced disasters by the rivalry for control and influence between China and the U.S.
Pacific leaders appreciate U.S. engagement yet express concern about rising geopolitical tensions. Baron Waqa, Secretary-General of the Pacific Islands Forum, stressed the importance of prioritizing “peace and stability” in the region, condemning the ongoing arms race between the U.S. and China. Despite their nuclear-free stance, the region has witnessed intensified military collaboration between the U.S. and partners like Australia through agreements such as AUKUS.
Regardless of the election outcome, U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand, Tom Udall, assured that U.S. engagement with the Pacific is likely to persist based on historical patterns. Both Trump and Harris recognize China as a significant external threat, complicating the geopolitical landscape.
Guam specifically is poised at a pivotal point; its status as a frontline defense community comes with unique challenges. Congressman James Moylan has been active in advocating for increased recognition and support for Guam’s distinct circumstances, as local residents are excluded from voting rights due to U.S. law anomalies. Moylan expressed a preference for a Trump presidency regarding security but noted a willingness to work with either administration.
Amidst these complexities, there remains a ray of hope that an administration under Harris could follow through on promises regarding climate financing and bolster defense capacities crucial to Pacific island nations. As discussions on policy and cooperation continue, many Pacific leaders are eager to see real, actionable results to support their economies and safeguarding strategies against both climate change and geopolitical threats.
In summary, the outcome of the U.S. election holds significant implications for Pacific island nations. Both potential pathways—with either Trump continuing with an isolationist agenda, or Harris building upon the engagement strategies established—carry the potential for transformative impacts on the region, particularly in terms of climate commitment and security architecture. The engagement of Pacific nations in the political dialogue remains crucial, ensuring their concerns and aspirations are recognized.
Leave a comment